Archive for November, 2008

IG 11

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

IG 11 is opening unchanged at 214/217

Libor Open

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Libor US$ Fixing                  11/18        11/17      Change          OVERNIGHT        .40000       .40000     .00000 1 WEEK           .94375       .91875     .02500 2 WEEKS         1.13750      1.12750     .01000 1 MONTH         1.45250      ...

Some Opening Comments November 18 2008

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities are posting small gains in overnight trading. As stocks declined in late New York trading yesterday yields on benchmark Treasury debt declined several basis points from levels I had cited in my closing piece and pandemic equity market weakness sparked additional yield declines.The yield on ...

Technicians Speak

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

I have mentioned that I have a moderate sized position short the equity market and long 10 year notes. Against that bit of background and full disclosure I shamelessly flog my position by linking to a Bloomberg story in which several chartists predict dire outcomes for equities.

Closing Comments November 17 2008

Monday, November 17th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities posted modest gains today as economic releases paint a grim picture of a stumbling economy and announcements of chunky layoffs by former financial giant Citibank raise the specter of a deep and harsh recession.Against that background, the yield on the 2 year note edged lower ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, November 17th, 2008

Participants in the corporate bond market describe a deadly, dull depressing day. The level of activity from clients was quite subdued.The IG 11 is currently 208/210. It had opened 8 wider this morning on a wide 210214 quote. There was one new deal. An entity with the appellation Sempra Energy is offering ...

Agency Market

Monday, November 17th, 2008

Agency spreads are unchanged in the 2year sector and also in the 10 year sector. Three year spreads and five year spreads are wider by about 5 basis points each.FNMA is the culprit for the spread widening in the three year and five year sectors. That entity reopened an outstanding ...

JPMorgan on Industrial Production

Monday, November 17th, 2008

  Industrial production increased 1.3%m/m in October, considerably above    expectations (JPM: 0.6%, consensus: 0.2%). However, September was    revised down from -2.8% to -3.7%, which is the biggest monthly decline    since 1946. The net result is that the 4Q run-rate on IP was tracking    -9.8%q/q annualized through October, close to our original expectation.    Growth in 3Q was ...

HSBC on the Empire Survey

Monday, November 17th, 2008

HSBC: US Nov Empire Manufacturing - Poor Detail                  * Nov ISM manufacturing down slightly to -25.4 (consensus -26)    from -24.6, but several key components worsened                * Employment  tumbled to -29 from -4, the lowest   since December 2001      ...

IG 11

Monday, November 17th, 2008

IG 11 opening 8 wider at 210/214