Archive for November, 2008
Tuesday, November 18th, 2008
IG 11 is opening unchanged at 214/217
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Tuesday, November 18th, 2008
Libor US$ Fixing
11/18 11/17 Change
OVERNIGHT .40000 .40000 .00000
1 WEEK .94375 .91875 .02500
2 WEEKS 1.13750 1.12750 .01000
1 MONTH 1.45250 ...
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Tuesday, November 18th, 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities are posting small gains in overnight trading. As stocks declined in late New York trading yesterday yields on benchmark Treasury debt declined several basis points from levels I had cited in my closing piece and pandemic equity market weakness sparked additional yield declines.The yield on ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Some Opening Comments November 18 2008
Tuesday, November 18th, 2008
I have mentioned that I have a moderate sized position short the equity market and long 10 year notes. Against that bit of background and full disclosure I shamelessly flog my position by linking to a Bloomberg story in which several chartists predict dire outcomes for equities.
Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Comments »
Monday, November 17th, 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities posted modest gains today as economic releases paint a grim picture of a stumbling economy and announcements of chunky layoffs by former financial giant Citibank raise the specter of a deep and harsh recession.Against that background, the yield on the 2 year note edged lower ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Closing Comments November 17 2008
Monday, November 17th, 2008
Participants in the corporate bond market describe a deadly, dull depressing day. The level of activity from clients was quite subdued.The IG 11 is currently 208/210. It had opened 8 wider this morning on a wide 210214 quote.
There was one new deal. An entity with the appellation Sempra Energy is offering ...
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Monday, November 17th, 2008
Agency spreads are unchanged in the 2year sector and also in the 10 year sector. Three year spreads and five year spreads are wider by about 5 basis points each.FNMA is the culprit for the spread widening in the three year and five year sectors. That entity reopened an outstanding ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Agency Market
Monday, November 17th, 2008
Industrial production increased 1.3%m/m in October, considerably above
expectations (JPM: 0.6%, consensus: 0.2%). However, September was
revised down from -2.8% to -3.7%, which is the biggest monthly decline
since 1946. The net result is that the 4Q run-rate on IP was tracking
-9.8%q/q annualized through October, close to our original expectation.
Growth in 3Q was ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on JPMorgan on Industrial Production
Monday, November 17th, 2008
HSBC: US Nov Empire Manufacturing - Poor Detail
* Nov ISM manufacturing down slightly to -25.4 (consensus -26)
from -24.6, but several key components worsened
* Employment tumbled to -29 from -4, the lowest
since December 2001 ...
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Monday, November 17th, 2008
IG 11 opening 8 wider at 210/214
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