Archive for November, 2008

Mini Credit Recap of Yesterday

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

This was sent to me by a friend of the blog and captures some of the issues which confronted the credit markets and which I think will re-emerge today. CDS on Berkshire , the Warren Buffett AAA-rated company traded at 388bp. The spread on the top, “AAA” rated CMBX-5 rose to a ...

Some Opening Comments November 19 2008

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities, on balance, continued the strong advance which began yesterday. (The 2 year note traded at the lowest yield level since the dawn of time but has set back modestly since it touched that new low yield level.) Trading remains motivated by fears that the recession ...

Meltdown

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

That is the word that one market participant used to describe the action in the CMBS market today. I am sorry to be writing this so late but I just found it as I checked emails and thought it worth posting. CMBX AAAs widened by 130 basis points. AJ tranches widened ...

Closing Comments November 18 2008

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities surged today as persistent buying in the long end of the market sparked a rally across the curve. Money managers and pension fund players in need of duration waved in the 10 year sector and the 30 year sector.The yield on the 2 year note ...

HSBC on NAHB

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

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Swaps and Mortgages

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Two year swap spreads are unchanged at 107 ¼ basis points. Five year spreads are 2 ¼ basis points tighter at 103 ½ basis points. Ten year spreads are 1 basis point tighter at 31 ¼ basis points and 30 year spreads are 8 ¼ basis points more negative at ...

Corporate Bonds

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

The corporate bond market as measured by the IG 11 has begun to crumble. The index is currently quoted 226/228 which is about 19 basis points wider on the day.Why the sharp spike out in that spread today? I think it is partly a result of the significant widening in ...

Brad Setser on Flight to Quality Chinese Style

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Brad Setser has a spectacular article on his blog about the move out of agencies by China and their replacement with Treasury bills and notes. It is an extraordinarily good analysis and I highly recommend it.

Acronymic Angst

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

There is carnage in the asset backed markets again. I am not well versed on this stuff but in cobbling together a story it is pretty ugly. So by way of example one derivative veteran noted that the last cash flow AAA pieces of the ABX Index have declined 14 ...

Swaps and Agency Agony

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Swap spreads are 4 basis points to 5 basis points across the curve except in the 10 year bucket which is only 3 basis points tighter. I had not watched the 30 year spread in a while but it is now NEGATIVE 23 ½ basis points.Agency spreads are suffering additional ...