Archive for October, 2008

Lender of Last Resort

Friday, October 3rd, 2008

The Federal Reserve System has truly fulfilled the role for which it was originally intended as it serves as lender of last resort. The swelling of the Federal Reserve balance sheet has been massive and testifies to the total lack of confidence in the financial system and how very close ...

ATT and the CP Market

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

I just stumbled on this FT story and it echoes some of what my "money market mole" has told me.

Closing Comments October 2 2008

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities surged today as investors are gathering around the conclusion that the slowdown in the global economy has acquired a momentum which outpaces the ability of government to seriously impede it. The corollary is that even with a successful result in the House of Representative tomorrow ...

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

These are interesting times in the agency market . There is quite a bit of dialogue and conversation between portfolio managers and research people regarding the wide discrepancy between the spreads of the conservatory twins (FNMA ad Freddie Mac) and Federal Home Loan debt.That spread is at historically wide levels. ...

Money Market

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

My money market source is still as distressed as he has been the last several times we have chatted. He said that the recent quarter end has not brough relief and the market has much bigger preoccupations than that. He notes the 8 percent decline in financial company commercial paper ...

Swap Spreads

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008



Corporate Bonds

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

The IG 10 spread is trading 186/188. I did not obtain a closing quote on this yesterday but it opened around 170. Insurance company bonds are getting spanked as Harry Reid demonstrated that he sorely lacks financial markets savvy with his senseless comment that there is an insurance company on the ...

MBS

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

Mortgages are lagging swaps by 6 ticks to 7 ticks. Dealers report light customer flows. Some of that light flow has included money manager buying of 5 1/2s, hot money buying 6 1/2s versus 5 1/2s and tempered selling from originators.

Merrill Lynch on Auto Sales

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

These are the interesting musings of a Merrill Lynch analyst on auto sales: Fresh 16-year low in auto sales - credit already a problem Light vehicle sales dropped to an annualized pace of 12.5M units in September after the incentive-led gain of 13.7M units in August. Results were in-line with ML estimates, but 1M ...

Libor Settings

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

There is still tension in the money market as the key three month Libor rate climbed 6 basis points to 4.21 percent. The overnight rate fell to 2.68 percent from 3.79 percent the previous day.