Archive for August, 2008
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
I wrote a lengthy piece yesterday about the diminished bid for agency paper in the Central Bank Community. Brad Setser posed the pertinent question and wanted to know where the money that was not being spent in agencies was being invested.I spoke with several Treasury market veterans (a small sample ...
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Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
This Bloomberg story about a CSFB report which holds that FNMA and Freddie MAC will not be taken over by the Treasury prompted the huge move tighter in the CDS.
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Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
It is very fascinating to me that as the proprietor of this blog I am long volatility. I have experienced huge jumps in volume last March as Bear Stearns folded its tent and then again in July as Act1 of the GSE crisis unfolded.
Volume held up following that but began ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Blog Statistics
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
There is an underlying fear in the market this morning and it is not fully reflected in spreads. It is reflected somewhat in the 2 year note which has traded to a cycle low close to 2.25 percent.
There is an interesting tension at work in the agency market. There is ...
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Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
IG 10 is opening about 1 basis point tighter at 142/143.
Lehman CDS are 10 tighter at 360/370 and FNMA and Freddie are 35 better at 318/328.
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Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
Life Insurer buys 10 year versus 2 year.
Hedge Fund buyers of 5 years.
Other Asian based buyers of 2 years and 5 years.
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Some Overnight Flow
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities are virtually unchanged in overnight trading. The 2year note yields 2.30 percent. The benchmark 5 year note yields 3.06 percent. The 10 year yields 3.83 percent and the Long Bond yields 4.45 percent.The spread between the 2 year note and the 10 year note rests ...
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Tuesday, August 19th, 2008
When I began my tenure in the bond business money supply was the most widely followed economic report. If I recall correctly the Fed released the widely followed M1 number every Thursday around 410PM New York time. There were surveys and Fed watchers developed reputations forecasting the number.
Over time the ...
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Tuesday, August 19th, 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities registered mixed results today with shorter maturities rising in price while longer maturities fell. The Freddie Mac 5 year reference note pricing was the key element of the day. The market was rife with fear about how well the issue would be placed and how ...
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Tuesday, August 19th, 2008
Benchmark agency spreads are unchanged in the 2 year sector and 2 basis points tighter in the 5 year and 10 year sector.Freddie Mac was able to fund itself as it successfully placed $3 billion 5 year notes. The issue priced at T+113 and has narrowed by 5 basis points. ...
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