Archive for July, 2008

Agency Recap

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

Agency spreads are closing the session with small mixed changes. The 2 year sector is unchanged on the day and is a tad weaker to swaps. The 5 year sector is about a basis point wider to both Treasury paper and to swaps. The Home Loan announced $3billion of a ...

Administrative Note

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

I just wish to make clear that the last two paragraphs of the prior post on Case Shiller are from a note to UBS clients by UBS economists. I tried to make a much larger break so that it would appear obvious that it was not my composition or paraphrase. I ...

A Different Version of Case Shiller

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

The Case Shiller Home Price Index fell -15.8 percent in May from the preceding year. The rate of decline month over month has slowed and there were actually pockets of strength in which prices rose.Deutsche Bank equity analysts have flashed a yellow warning light for this line of reasoning. This ...

Res Ipsa Loquitur

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

This is an interesting story about a novel way to bring down gas prices. Or maybe the deity has decided to sanctify speculation and is day trading it from the short side.

More Credit

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

CDS on Merrill is now 285/295. It has been as tight as 265 after closing 360 prior to the announcement. Other brokers who may still experience the slings and arrows of outrageous mark to market fortune are 5 basis points to 10 basis points wider.The IG 10 is wrapped around ...

MBS

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

Mortgages have opened 5 ticks to 6 ticks weaker to swaps. There has been originator and servicer selling as well as hedge fund sales. The level of activity thus far has been muted.One dealer noted that while the Merrill Lynch action will probably have a cleansing effect on that entity ...

Credit Open

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

The IG 10 is opening 132 ¼ / 133 ¼ which is about 3 tighter.I have not seen a precise quote but I am hearing that Merrill CDS is 10 better.

Opening Comments July 29 2008

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered small mixed changes in overnight trading as the market consolidates the gains attained yesterday. Equity markets around the globe sold off as growth concerns and credit fears dominate trading.The yield on the benchmark 2 year note has slipped a basis point to 2.56 ...

Midnight Miscellany

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

The UK will auction on Tuesday 2.5 billion pounds of bonds maturing in 2018. French markets will deal with a consumer confidence report for July and PPI for June. In the US on Tuesday the key data release is the Case Shiller index of home prices. It is likely to show additional ...

Japanese Economics

Monday, July 28th, 2008

Economic data released in Japan early in the evening did not help to stabilize markets after the steep plunge in US equities and the renewed credit concerns stoked by the ugly news from Merrill Lynch.Unemployment in Japan rose to nearly a 2 year high as the jobless rate touched 4.1 ...