Archive for January, 2008

Midday Mishkin

Friday, January 11th, 2008

12:45 *MISHKIN SAYS MUST BE READY TO `TAKE BACK' INSURANCE AS NEEDED 12:45 *MISHKIN SAYS INFLATION EXPECTATIONS `REASONABLY WELL ANCHORED' 12:45 *MISHKIN SAYS FED STRATEGY IS AIMED AT `PROVIDING INSURANCE' 12:45 *MISHKIN SAYS FED `WILL CONTINUE TO ACT DECISIVELY' ON RATES 12:45 *FED'S MISHKIN SPEAKS ON `POLICY FLEXIBILITY' IN NEW YORK 12:45 *MISHKIN SAYS `PRONOUNCED ...

Goldman 10year

Friday, January 11th, 2008

As mentioned earlier Goldman Sachs is bringing to market a new Benchmark 10year today. I suppose as is the case with many of these deals it will grow until demand is sated. The spread talk is +205 versus the 10year Treasury.  As has been the custom of late that represents ...

Trade Imbalance

Friday, January 11th, 2008

The US trade deficit gapped wider in November to $63.1billion from $57.8billion in November. Economists who are paid to forecast this stuff had expected the deficit level to widen to $59.5billion,according to a Bloomberg survey. Much of the increase can be attributed to the insatiable American appetite for oil. Ian ...

An Arcane Measure of Consumer Confidence

Friday, January 11th, 2008

I attach a Yahoo Finance story which describes the fall to new lows of something called the RBC cash Index. I have not heard of this one but it accurately captures the gloomy mood. Separately, prices of benchmark treasury securities seem to have run out of steam for now . Maybe the ...

Consumated

Friday, January 11th, 2008

      *BANK OF AMERICA TO BUY COUNTRYWIDE FOR ABOUT $7.16-SHARE Bank of America-BAC to acquire Countrywide Financial-CFC for app *BANK OF AMERICA DOESN'T SEE COMBINED COMPANY DOING ORIGINATIONS *BANK OF AMERICA SAYS ORIGINATION OF SUBPRIME LOANS NOT PLANNED *BANK OF AMERICA DOESN'T SEES ORIGINATION OF SUBPRIME LOANS *BANK OF AMERICA SAYS ORIGINATION OF SUBPRIME LOANS ...

TGIF

Friday, January 11th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities surged in overnight trading and the yield curve continued to steepen  as signs of economic gloom precipitated another round of global equity market weakness. The NewYorkTimes is reporting that MerrillLynchwill take a $15billion loss in Q4 2007 ,far larger than originally anticipated. American Express added ...

January 10 2008 Daily Recap

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities put in a mixed performance this day .The 2year note was the rock star and has registered a modest decline in yield of about 1basis point. As one moves along the x axis the carnage turns pretty ugly.The yield on the 10year has increased by about ...

BOA Constrictor

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

http://online.wsj.com/public/us

Across the Curve

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

That is the title of this blog and following the release of the text of the Bernanke speech there has been action across the curve. The curve is undergoing some severe adjustments as Mr Bernanke outlined a Federal Reserve which believes that the economic outlook has deteriorated and the outlook ...

Bullish Ben

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

*BERNANKE SAYS JOBS DETERIORATION WOULD RAISE SPENDING RISK *BERNANKE SAYS DECEMBER JOB DATA `DISAPPOINTING' *BERNANKE `PREPARED' TO `ACT IN A DECISIVE AND TIMELY MANNER' *BERNANKE SAYS `ADDITIONAL POLICY EASING MAY WELL BE NECESSARY' *BERNANKE SAYS FED `PAYING PARTICULAR ATTENTION' TO HOUSING *BERNANKE SAYS FED TO MONITOR INFLATION, PRICE EXPECTATIONS