Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Ten Year TIPS Breakevens at 2015 Levels

Saturday, November 19th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Bond Traders Sound Inflation Alarm Amid Worst Rout Since 2001 Yun Li November 19, 2016 — 12:01 AM EST Ten-year breakeven rate reaches highest level since 2015 Long end of yield curve is ‘dangerous’: BlackRock’s Rieder The rout in the fixed-income universe deepened into the worst in 15 years as traders sounded ...

Issue Long Term Debt

Saturday, November 19th, 2016

Says Randall Forsyth at Barron's: By Randall W. Forsyth November 19, 2016   As Donald J. Trump attempts to assemble his cabinet, he can only look with envy on George Washington, who could tap such towering figures as Thomas Jefferson as secretary of state and Alexander Hamilton as secretary of the Treasury. Long before the ...

Global Trade Slowing

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Until he takes office in January, President-elect Donald Trump won’t be able to follow through on his pledges to scrap the Trans-Pacific Partnership, renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement, or penalize Chinese imports. Even without him, protectionism is rising, and world trade is slowing. Responding to an outcry from ...

Abbot Lab Pricing

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: LAUNCH: Abbott Laboratories $15.1b Debt Offering in 6 Parts 2016-11-17 19:42:20.999 GMT By Lisa Loray (Bloomberg) -- Total deal size $15.1b across 6 tranches. * Tranches (Guidance, IPT): * $2.85b 3Y (11/22/2019) at +105 * +110a, +120a * $2.85b 5Y (11/30/2021) at +120 * +125a, +135a * $1.5b 7Y (11/30/2023) at +140 * +145a, +155a * $3b 10Y (11/30/2026) at ...

GDP Now

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

It looks as though Obamanomics really starting to work! Via FRBAtlanta: Latest forecast: 3.6 percent — November 17, 2016 The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2016 is 3.6 percent on November 17, up from 3.3 percent on November 15. The forecast of ...

Chunky Corporate Deal

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: NEW DEAL: Abbott Laboratories $15.1b; 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, 10Y, 20Y, 30Y 2016-11-17 13:49:33.937 GMT By Brian Smith (Bloomberg) -- Expected to price today; deal size $15.1b will not grow. * IPT: * 3Y (11/22/2019): +120a * 5Y (11/30/2021): +135a * 7Y (11/30/2023): +155a * 10Y (11/30/2026): +170a * 20Y (11/30/2036): +190a * 30Y (11/30/2046): +205a * Issuer: Abbott Laboratories (ABT) * Expected ...

Yellen Analysis

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Chair Yellen’s testimony before the Joint Economic Committee was very basic and workmanlike.  She repeated a lot of the main themes that she has explored this year as well as reiterating the guidance from the last few FOMC statements that the case for a ...

CPI

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via TDSecurities: US: Core Inflation Misses Expectations But Outlook Remains Favorable    ·         The headline CPI rose 0.4% m/m, in line with consensus expectations and lifting year-over-year inflation further to 1.6% y/y from 1.5% y/y.   ·         Downside surprise was realized in the core index, which rose a modest 0.1% m/m, leaving ...

Housing Starts

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: With Yellen and CPI this morning, I never thought that the first thing I would need to write up would be housing starts, but then the data can be full of surprises! Housing starts exploded in October, more than offsetting the steep drop in September.  ...

Yellen Thoughts

Thursday, November 17th, 2016

Via TDSecurities: US: December In Play but Outlook Still Dovish *        Chair Yellen in her testimony left the Fed policy outlook little changed in keeping a December rate hike on the table but continuing to emphasize the gradual, patient stance on the policy trajectory. *        We continue ...