Archive for February, 2017

Overnight Credit Trading

Tuesday, February 21st, 2017

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Lowest Volume Since Jan. vs Huge Volume Prior 3 Days 2017-02-21 11:15:49.518 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $13.5b Friday vs $24b Thursday, $18.2b last Friday. It was the lowest volume session since $12.8b Jan. 3. * 10-DMA $19.9b; 10-Friday moving avg $13.2b * 144a ...

Credit Pipeline

Tuesday, February 21st, 2017

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: 2 to Price, Adds/Updates PH, TXN, MOS, MCY 2017-02-21 10:53:05.763 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- 2 Yankee deals came forward overnight and are set to price today. Domestic names are expected to be added to the mix as 86% of dealers, in a Bloomberg News survey, look for at least $15b-$20b ...

Spread Widening

Tuesday, February 21st, 2017

An excerpt from morning note by Marc Chandler of Brown Brothers Harriman: The 10-year French premium over Germany has widened to 80 bp, the most since August 2012.  It has risen nearly 14 bp since the middle of last week.  The two-year spread is also widening.  It is at 44 bp ...

Mega Deals

Thursday, February 16th, 2017

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: A History of Mega IG Deals 2017-02-15 19:01:26.409 GMT By Nico Grant (Bloomberg) -- Just two months into 2017, and there has been one mega investment-grade deal and three more that have come close. Investors have gotten used to issuance sizes of $15b or more over the past two years, but it wasn’t ...

Yellen Dissected

Tuesday, February 14th, 2017

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Chair Yellen’s prepared testimony is in my view easily the most hawkish message that she has ever delivered in her tenure as Fed Chair.  She stopped short of promising a rate hike in March, but she did more than enough to put March on ...

Scoping Out Yellen Testimony

Monday, February 13th, 2017

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Chair Yellen’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony is likely to be an important venue for the near-term outlook for Fed policy.  The written testimony will probably be Yellen’s last scripted word before the March FOMC meeting, so if Yellen and the Committee perceive that a ...

More Data Dissected

Friday, February 3rd, 2017

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: The ISM non-manufacturing survey data were broadly steady in January.  The headline measure was essentially unchanged at 56.5.  The new orders and production components were down 2 points and half a point respectively.  In contrast, the employment gauge increased by 2 points.  After a ...

Labor Data

Friday, February 3rd, 2017

Via TDSecurities:          Nonfarm payrolls rose by a strong 227k in January, beating expectations (consensus: 180K, TD: 175k).   ·         Levels of slack broadly inched higher in January but for good reasons, as a slightly higher unemployment rate (4.78% vs 4.72%) was accompanied by a rise in labor force participation.   ·         ...