Archive for August, 2016

Personal Spending Data

Monday, August 29th, 2016

Via TDSecurities: TD SECURITIES DATAFLASH                    US: Spending Momentum Steadies, While Inflation Still Subdued ·         Personal spending rose at respectable 0.3% m/m in July, following the upwardly revised 0.5% m/m advance the month before. In real terms, spending rose 0.3% m/m. ·         The inflationary picture, however, remained quite benign with the headline PCE deflation unchanged, while ...

Fiscal Elixir

Monday, August 29th, 2016

There are several excellent graphs in this article from Bloomberg which do not translate well to me blog. Click here to view the full article with graphs. The Return of Inflation and the Bond Market Calls for fiscal stimulus spur renewed bets on inflation gains Pimco, Pioneer position for spending-fueled economic growth   There have ...

Some Corporate Bond Stuff

Monday, August 29th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Client Flows in 5Y Issues Led Trading Volume 2016-08-29 09:57:35.607 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $9.4b Friday vs $14.6b Thursday, $9b the previous Friday. 10-DMA $13.3b; 10-Friday moving avg $10.8b. * 144a trading added $1.1b of IG volume Friday vs $1.8b Thursday, $1b last ...

Credit Pipeline

Monday, August 29th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: CBAAU to Price 4-Part Deal 2016-08-29 09:31:26.530 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Expected to rice today: * Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBAAU) Aa1/AA-, to price $bench 144a/Reg-S 4-part deal, via managers C/CBA/GS/JPM * 2Y, IPT +70 area * 5Y, IPT +90-95 * 5Y FRN, IPT equiv * 10Y, IPT +125 area LATEST UPDATES * Kingdom of ...

FX

Monday, August 29th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Yellen Pushes Divergence Front and Center Risks of a Fed hike increased sharply after signals from Jackson Hole US jobs data at the end of the week have added significance Reports that the Saudi oil minister denied the need for OPEC action is weighing ...

Hilsenrath Story

Sunday, August 28th, 2016

Via WSJ: By Jon Hilsenrath and Harriet Torry Aug. 28, 2016 10:37 a.m. ET 14 COMMENTS JACKSON HOLE, Wyo.—When Janet Yellen laid out options here for U.S. interest-rate policy in the years ahead, the Federal Reserve chairwoman conspicuously left off her list a controversial idea being tried in Japan and much of Europe: Negative interest ...

Central Bankers Despair

Sunday, August 28th, 2016

This Reuters story carried by the NYTimes website details the frustration of central bankers who see less and less return from monetary policy and who pine for some sort of fiscal action to stimulate inflationary expectations amongst the hoi polloi. Via the NYTimes and Reuters: Business Day Global Central Bankers, Stuck at Zero, ...

Abolish Cash

Sunday, August 28th, 2016

Marvin Goodfriend was a long time economist at the Richmond Fed and if memory serves me well I recall him writing quite a few pieces (excellent) on monetary history. In this article Bloomberg reports that he favors deeply negative rates as cure for the next recession and to support that ...

BOJ’s Kuroda Coos Dovishly at Jackson Hole

Saturday, August 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Jeff Black Jeffrey_Black Steve Matthews SteveMatthews12 August 27, 2016 — 2:52 PM EDT Updated on August 27, 2016 — 4:28 PM EDT   Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said he won’t hesitate to boost monetary stimulus if needed, reiterating a pledge during an annual policy retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, at which central bankers stressed ...

Logorrhea at the Fed

Saturday, August 27th, 2016

Reserve Bank Presidents Bullard and Lockhart take issue with some hawkish comments delivered by Vice Chairman yesterday. Via the WSJ: By Harriet Torry Aug. 27, 2016 12:18 p.m. ET 2 COMMENTS JACKSON HOLE, Wyo.—Two Fed officials have played down the likelihood of two rate increases this year beginning as soon as next month, after the ...